REPORTS

WILL IT LAND

LIVE

M-KOPA and the Off-Grid Gambit: Solving African Energy, Owning It From London

M-KOPA turned its first profit on $416m revenue and $2bn in credit deployed to the unbanked — but the equity that captures the upside is domiciled in London and funded from Tokyo, London and San Francisco.

PREMIUM REPORTPREDICTIVE DOSSIER · INDEX 71/1002026-07-07
$416M
2024 REVENUE, UP 66% YEAR-ON-YEAR
$2B+
CREDIT DEPLOYED TO CUSTOMERS SINCE 2011
7M
TOTAL CUSTOMERS REACHED; 3M ACTIVE IN 2025
$250M+
2023 DEBT-AND-EQUITY ROUND, STANDARD BANK-LED SLL

THE MOVE

M-KOPA sells the sun on installments. Founded in Nairobi in 2011 by two former Vodafone executives, the company built a pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) model that lets a household in Kenya, Uganda, Nigeria, Ghana or South Africa take home a solar system, a smartphone, an electric motorbike or a cash loan with no upfront capital, then pay it off in daily micro-installments unlocked over a mobile network. Miss a payment and the device locks; complete the plan and you own the asset outright and, crucially, a credit history. Over fifteen years that mechanism has moved from a solar-lantern novelty to one of the largest consumer-finance engines on the continent.

The 2024–26 chapter is the one that matters for a 'Will It Land?' read, because this is the window in which M-KOPA stopped being a promising loss-maker and became a profitable, scaling institution. In its 2024 accounts the company posted its first-ever net profit — KES 1.2 billion (about $9.2 million) — reversing a KES 3.2 billion ($24.7 million) loss the year before, on revenue that jumped 66% to KES 53.7 billion ($416 million). Cumulatively it has now extended more than $2 billion in credit and reached over 7 million customers, with active customers crossing 3 million for the first time. In Kenya alone it has unlocked KES 207 billion (roughly $1.6 billion) in credit across 4.8 million customers.

The move under examination is the expansion-and-financing flywheel that made this possible: a 2023 round of over $250 million in blended debt and equity — more than $200 million of it sustainability-linked debt arranged by Standard Bank Group, plus around $55 million of growth equity led by Japan's Sumitomo Corporation — followed by further development-finance commitments and an aggressive push into Nigeria, now its fastest-growing market. The stated ambition is 10 million users by 2030. The question MonoKromatik asks is not whether the machine works. It plainly does. The question is who owns the machine.

PREMIUM REPORT

The full report is part of the Intelligence membership.